Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.237608 1.464884 1.702616 1.968253 2.255291 2.554736 2.889401
2025-01-05 0.897993 1.212155 1.562545 1.975370 2.442176 2.948175 3.532918
2025-01-12 0.692609 1.040144 1.447435 1.945710 2.526389 3.171151 3.931330
2025-01-19 0.600588 0.985830 1.455565 2.046729 2.750710 3.545470 4.495158
2025-01-26 0.536224 0.952898 1.478620 2.155767 2.976027 3.913955 5.046094
2025-02-02 0.489652 0.935399 1.515027 2.276394 3.211688 4.292168 5.606817
2025-02-09 0.458350 0.933313 1.567133 2.413297 3.464579 4.688958 6.188012
2025-02-16 0.410683 0.901255 1.575515 2.491868 3.644267 4.997988 6.666234
2025-02-23 0.351407 0.843997 1.544730 2.516256 3.754336 5.222152 7.043518
2025-03-02 0.269450 0.738969 1.439964 2.438081 3.732032 5.284077 7.226606
2025-03-09 0.197307 0.636332 1.329313 2.344808 3.684989 5.311659 7.365197
2025-03-16 0.149841 0.567148 1.260659 2.302616 3.698445 5.409209 7.583983
2025-03-23 0.121693 0.532324 1.245283 2.338172 3.819436 5.648508 7.985976
2025-03-30 0.092905 0.488807 1.213074 2.348769 3.907959 5.848867 8.343306
2025-04-06 0.063340 0.431946 1.153113 2.315200 3.934692 5.969373 8.601079
2025-04-13 0.057453 0.435219 1.193209 2.426594 4.154463 6.332234 9.155172
2025-04-20 0.053180 0.441954 1.238893 2.546137 4.385317 6.709385 9.727285
2025-04-27 0.050705 0.453542 1.292967 2.678262 4.633472 7.108904 10.327556
2025-05-04 0.050294 0.471601 1.358581 2.827833 4.905598 7.539284 10.966433
2025-05-11 0.043414 0.466100 1.381608 2.913539 5.091345 7.860510 11.471618
2025-05-18 0.032261 0.440244 1.366037 2.940118 5.196169 8.078719 11.849938
2025-05-25 0.016103 0.378757 1.279182 2.854881 5.145826 8.097543 11.980874
2025-06-01 0.005370 0.317587 1.184928 2.753045 5.068881 8.079510 12.063821